Q3 2015

23rd June 2014 the Brent barrel price closed at USD $114.12, yesterday  (23rd June 2015) the same barrel closed at USD $64.41.  Since the 23rd June 2014 the decline in the Brent barrel price has presented a yearly average closing price of USD $76.99.  The quarterly trends for Q1 and Q2 (to date) has been USD $ 55.88 and USD $63.90 respectively.  Can we forecast the 2015 average will be USD $ 62.00?  Time to risk analyse the marginal projects.